HomeRun Homes Rent to Own Homes Blog

My photo

HomeRun Homes is a centralized marketplace which helps people Find or Sell a Rent to Own Home, both Nationwide and Globally to the thriving Rent to Own Market. http://www.lease2buy.com
Showing posts with label home prices. Show all posts
Showing posts with label home prices. Show all posts

August 31, 2013

What's Up? Home Prices and Sales of Existing Homes

Hi Folks,
   It's great to report this, but guess what's up? The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) just released their figures for the June 2012-June 2013 time period, and there was a 7.7% increase in home prices. The big winner was the West Coast, which checked in with a 17% gain, followed by the Mountain Region, at 11%. The slacker was the Mid-Atlantic, including New York, which was only up 2.5%. Additionally, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) released figures for the July 2012 - July 2013 time period, and the median price of a previously owned home popped up close to 14%. As for sales, the sales of previously owned homes jumped by 6.5% last month.

   Know what else? Even with these increases, homes are reasonably valued, and they still have room to increase further. Additionally, it's still cheaper to buy than rent, which also bolsters the opinion that housing prices are still undervalued.

   What's going down? Not mortgage rates. That makes buyers nervous and makes them scramble to take action before the rates increase. A perfect example that John W. Schoen points out in his article on CNBC.com, titled, "Home prices across the US defy gravity, despite rising rates", Mortgage applications for both home purchases and refinancings dropped for a second straight week as rates rose, and he cites the Mortgage Bankers Association. "Demand fell 4.6 percent in the week ended Aug. 16 as the rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage rose to 4.68 percent, matching this year's high mark.". In order for people to keep buying homes, credit needs to stay available, and the post-bubble vice-grip needs to be eased further in order to allow folks to get approved.

   So overall, this is some pretty good news !! What are your thoughts?

Would You Like Our Blog Posts Sent Directly to your E-mail? Here's How:
1. Locate the "Subscribe by E-mail" box on the Right Side of your Screen.
2. Type your E-mail address in the box, and click "Submit"
3. Check Your E-mail and Confirm Your Subscription...it's That Simple !

Have a Great Weekend, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes - Rent to Own Homes, since 2002
"Located at the Corner of Technology and Real Estate"
Rent to Own Homes and Real Estate Blog for HomeRun Homes: http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Websites: http://www.lease2buy.com and http://www.homerunhomes.com


TAGS: #homeprices #existinghomessales #rates #mortgage applications #refinance #fixed mortgage #credit #bubble

August 31, 2012

Pricing Your Home Off The Market

Hi Folks,
   I hope you've had a great week, thus far.

   If you've seen the Real Estate news from this week, we had some incredible news, with the National Association of Realtors (NAR) stating that "Pending home sales rose in July to the highest level in over two years and remain well above year-ago levels" (Up almost 2.5% from June 2012 to July 2012 and almost 2.5% from July 2011 to July 2012). With this fantastic news, we also heard from the Standard and Poors/Case-Shiller folks that Home prices are on the rise, showing, "positive annual growth rates for the first time since the summer of 2010", and also, this is the second consecutive month where "all 20 cities and both Composites recorded positive monthly gains."

   So if you're selling a home, where do you even begin to price it? Emotions usually dictate the offer price that a seller will choose, as opposed to solid, fact-based reasoning. HomeGain.com ran a survey earlier this year that uncovered the following: "76 percent of homeowners believe their home is worth more than the list price recommended by their real estate agent."

   "Homebuyers usually have a better grasp of current market value in the area where they're looking to buy than do sellers who own and live there", says Dian Hymer, a veteran real estate broker, author, and a nationally syndicated real estate columnist, in a recent story on the Inman News website. Hymer says that "Buyers look at a lot of new listings. They make offers, know what sells quickly and for how much, and what doesn't and why." HomeGain reported that "homebuyers still think sellers are overpricing their homes."

   Hymer says that if a home lacks features from recent sales comparables ("comps"), "it's time to subtract value". She reminds us that a home is worth "what a buyer will pay for it given current market conditions", which may conflict with your opinion on price or what you are hoping for. With a spot-on comment on this dance, Hymer says that "Relying on emotion rather than logic when selecting a list price can lead to disappointing results."

   As for timing, Hymer says that it's the "prime opportunity for selling a home" when it first hits the market, as there are buyers who wait for these new listings, and as she writes, these listings "receive the most showings and have the busiest open houses during the first couple of weeks they are on the market". With that rule in mind, that is the time to show off your home at an attractive list price, and she aptly says, "Listings that sell today are priced right for the market". Very simply, Buyers want to feel they are getting a good deal, and will not overpay in a market that is still dropping or struggling, and Hymer says that in areas of strong sales, "buyers may shy away from multiple-offer situations if they feel the recovery is fragile and that prices may slide further before stabilizing", thus, effectively, it seems they would step away from engaging in a bidding war.

   As most of you are aware, real estate agents and appraisers use "Comps", or sales of similar homes in your area, to help establish a price range for offering/selling your home. Hymer says that if your home does not have a feature of a specific Comp (i.e. a remodeled kitchen), value is subtracted from the value of your home, and if your home has a feature that a specific Comp does not have (i.e. an easily accessible, level backyard), value is added to your potential sales price.

   With that being said, we're all human, and emotions play a factor.

   As Hymer says, "It's difficult for sellers to step back and take an attitude of detached interest in their home", and adds that it's "essential to do so if you want to sell successfully in this market.". She suggests selecting a "list price that undercuts the competition to drive buyers" (and offers?), to your home. She also says that if Comps show prices moving up, you can take a "more aggressive stance on pricing". "But don't list too high", cautions Hymer, who says that it's better to "stay in the range shown by the comparables and expose the house to the market before accepting offers", since the market will drive up the price if it's warranted.

   As a final note, Hymer cautions us not to rely on rumors about home sale prices that circulate in the neighborhood, as they tend to get inflated when "passed from one person to another", and suggests that you, "Select your list price based on hard facts."

   What are your thoughts on this? Have you sold a home before? Have you overpriced it? Did you underprice it? We'd love to hear about your experience, good or bad.

Would You Like Our Blog Posts Sent Directly to your E-mail? Here's How:
1. Locate the "Subscribe by E-mail" box on the Right Side of your Screen.
2. Type your E-mail address in the box, and click "Submit"
3. Check Your E-mail and Confirm Your Subscription...it's That Simple !

Happy Birthday to my son, who turned 6 today !

Have a Great Weekend, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
Rent to Own Homes and Real Estate Blog for HomeRun Homes: http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Websites: http://www.lease2buy.com and http://www.homerunhomes.com


TAGS: #HomeSales #HomePrices #RealEstate #homebuyer #homeowner #salescomparables #Comps #Appraiser #NationalAssociationofRealtors #NAR

July 15, 2012

A Page Turns on The Housing Market

Hi All,
   Well, it finally happened. Finally. The hype and the media coverage about it's imminent return have all been fulfilled. The U.S. Housing Market has finally began crawling back up from the bottom.

   It's been a long time, about 7 years, and a lot of ugly things have happened during that time, but most of the home price indices are starting to head back up in the right direction. In a recent WSJ article by David Wessel titled, "Housing Passes a Milestone". David Blitzer of S&P stated that "We finally saw some rising home prices", and reported the first monthly increase in prices after seven months of declines.

   Aside from prices, we all know the impact of housing inventory. It's simple Supply and Demand Economics. In what was called a surprise, the inventory of existing homes for sale has fallen "close to the normal level of six months' worth despite all the foreclosed homes that lenders own", per this article, and adds two additional key points, which are that a fraction of homes that are vacant is "at its lowest level since 2006", and that the amount of existing homes that were sold in May 2012 was 10% higher that those sold in May 2011. Wessel notes that many of these homes were purchased by investors "who plan to rent them for now and sell them later", which he infers to as "an important sign of an inflection point". We can surmise from our angle that the amount of homes being sold via Rent to Own is trending upwards from what we are seeing from our Rent to Own Homes website.

But can this just be a statistical aberration?

   Wessel provides an additional reason why this seems to be the real deal. Aside from the reduced inventory of homes that will support the higher prices, he also points to the increase in construction of single-family homes. Comparing May 2012 to May 2011, "Builders began work on 26% more single-family homes in May 2012" than the previous time last year.

   There is still a long way to go. Wessel mentioned some things that we should not forget: Single-family housing starts are still 60% below the 2002 "pre-bubble pace", Americans' equity in homes 25%, less than it was in 2002, and more than one in every four mortgage borrowers "still has a loan bigger than the value of the house". But "the housing bust is over", which for many of us, is music to our ears.

   Have you seen any signs of the Housing Market turning around by you? We'd love to hear.


Would You Like Our Blog Posts Sent Directly to your E-mail? Here's How:
1. Locate the "Subscribe by E-mail" box on the Right Side of your Screen.
2. Type your E-mail address in the box, and click "Submit"
3. Check Your E-mail and Confirm Your Subscription...it's That Simple !

Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !

Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog: http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Websites: http://www.lease2buy.com and http://www.homerunhomes.com

TAGS: #HousingMarket #homeprices #housinginventory #foreclosedhomes #existinghomes #builders #singlefamilyhomes #renttoown #mortgage #investors

February 27, 2012

January 2012 Home Sales - New vs. Existing

Hi Folks,
   Welcome Back !

   In a report this week from the Department of Housing and Urban Development (The "HUD"), sales of new single-family homes from December to January were down almost 1% (3.5% above January 2011), and during the same period of time, Existing Home Sales were up 4.3%, which marked 3 gains in the past 4 months, per the National Association of Realtors (or, "NAR").

   Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, attributed the strong gains in recent contract activity to buyers that are responding to "very favorable market conditions". Yun said that the "uptrend in home sales is in line with all of the underlying fundamentals", and Yun names a few of them, such as "pent-up household formation, record-low mortgage interest rates, bargain home prices, sustained job creation and rising rents.”

   Taking a deeper look at the figures for Existing-home sales, the West jumped 8.8% during the short term, and Distressed homes, which includes "foreclosures and short sales which sell at deep discounts", were at 35% in January, up from 32% in December.

   A conversation on Housing would be incomplete without discussing inventory. According to the NAR, inventories continued to improve, and more specifically, total unsold listed inventory has trended down from a 2007 record, and is down a 20.6% below a year ago. (NRS) The report just released for the New Residential Sales, the HUD listed a supply of 5.6 months at the current sales rate.


Would You Like Our Blog Posts Sent Directly to your E-mail? Here's How:
1. Locate the "Subscribe by E-mail" box on the Right Side of your Screen.
2. Type your E-mail address in the box, and click "Submit"
3. Check Your E-mail and Confirm Your Subscription...it's That Simple !

Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog: http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Websites: http://www.lease2buy.com and http://www.homerunhomes.com

TAGS: #HUD #NAR #singlefamilyhouses #Realtors #householdformation #mortgageinterestrates #homeprices #risingrents #residentialsales #inventories #existinghomesales

January 17, 2012

From A Sad Foreclosure To A Happy Home

Hi Everyone,
   Hope you had a nice long weekend if you had yesterday off, and a belated tip-of-the-cap to Dr. Martin Luther King for the peaceful way that he traveled to bring equal rights to African-Americans, and to bring peace amongst the different races of people on our little planet.

   Back in late summer, I wrote a post titled, "Feds Finally Keen on Rent to Own Housing", where we discussed a possible Government program aimed at selling bundles of foreclosed homes owned by Fannie Mae (FNMA) and Freddie Mac (FMCC), to real estate investors, with the properties converted into rentals. The key point here is that these homes will be sold in bulk vs. individually.

   Fast Forward a few months, and the Government is hoping to "launch a pilot program in early 2012 to convert government-owned foreclosures into rental properties", in a story by Tami Luhby for CNN Money. Just last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke cited the program as a possible way to help us get through the housing crisis, and per the article by Luhby, titled, "Turning foreclosures into rentals", Bernanke said that "Restoring the health of the housing market is a necessary part of a broader strategy for economic recovery".

   After dropping mortgage rates down to historic lows, the Fed started thinking "outside of the box", and needed to find creative ways to solve the crisis. Perhaps after a prolonged stall in foreclosure procedures, the Fed sees the wave of foreclosures coming in their crystal ball, and as Luhby writes, there are close to 2 million homes in the late stages of delinquency, according to Lender Processing Services. These foreclosed properties can destroy home prices since they "often sell below market value", says Luhby.

   By converting these homes to rentals, the neighbors are happy, the Fed is happy, and things can start looking better for everyone. What are your thoughts?

Would You Like Our Blog Posts Sent Directly to your E-mail? Here's How:
1. Locate the "Follow this Blog by Email" box on the Right Side of your Screen.
2. Type your E-mail address in the box, and click "Submit"
3. Check Your E-mail and Confirm Your Subscription...it's That Simple !

Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog: http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Websites: http://www.lease2buy.com and http://www.homerunhomes.com

TAGS: #MLK #MartinLutherKing #AfricanAmerican #RenttoOwn #FannieMae #FNMA #FreddieMac #FMCC #realestateinvestors #FederalReserve #foreclosedproperties #homeprices

October 25, 2011

Battle of The Home Price Indices

Hi Everyone,
   Glad to have you back with me here today!

   This week, there were two separate Home Price Indices released that reflected Home Prices in August as compared to the previous month, along with a comparison to the previous month one year prior. However, both the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Prices Index and the FHFA Monthly Home Price Index differ in their report.

   For the period covering July through August, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index showed increases of +0.2% for both the 10- and 20-City Composites. On the flip side, the FHFA House Price Index Fell 0.1%, which they deemed the "First Monthly Decline Since March".

   For the period covering August 2010 through August 2011, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index said that "Annual Rates of Change Continue to Improve", with Atlanta and Los Angeles continuing their drop, however, with the Midwest acting as a shining star, Detroit is named as "the healthiest when viewed on an annual basis" (possibly due to renewed strength in the Auto-Industry?). Once again we turn to the flip side, and we see that the FHFA House Price Index reported that U.S. prices fell 4% from August 2010 - August 2011.

   For the sake of Apples to Apples, the FHFA monthly index is calculated "using purchase prices of houses backing mortgages that have been sold to or guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac", and the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index is a Weighted value composite of "single-family home price indices for the nine U.S. Census division"

   Did you find this interesting. Which of the figures would you place most of your faith?

Would You Like Our Blog Posts Sent Directly to your E-mail? Here's How:
1. Locate the "Follow this Blog by Email" box on the Right Side of your Screen.
2. Type your E-mail address in the box, and click "Submit"
3. Check Your E-mail and Confirm Your Subscription...it's That Simple !

Have a Great Weekend, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog: http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Websites: http://www.lease2buy.com and http://www.homerunhomes.com

TAGS: #HomePrices #FannieMae #FreddieMac #mortgage #FHFA #Detroit #Atlanta

September 13, 2011

NAHB Hits a HomeRun With A New Comprehensive Index

Welcome Back,

   As you all know, from time to time, I break down the Housing numbers that are released to help you check the pulse of the Real Estate Market on a National basis. Along with these updates, I add an occasional rant (such as a rant about the need for an Index measuring Rent to Own activity). So far, though, that one has fallen on deaf ears, but something else has been created that I think is fantastic.

   Let me give you an example; if you take a photo of someone standing by the side of a building, you really can only see the person. If you back up a few steps and take the photo, you can see the building. If you step back a little more, you can also see the background, and perhaps the sky/clouds/weather. This example leads us to the newly created NAHB/First American Improving Markets Index (IMI), which was just launched by the NAHB (National Association of Home Builders), and includes three important factors to paint the big picture of the Housing market.

   According to an article by Claire Easley from Builder Magazine ("NAHB Launches New Index to Track Improving Markets"), the new index will be released monthly and will be "dedicated entirely to tracking metropolitan areas that have consistently shown signs of improvement".

   How can a Metropolitan area make the list? The area must have shown "at least six months of improvement from its trough" in the three factors that make up the index; housing permits, employment, and home prices. The Big Picture, basically!

   All 3 factors were deemed by the NAHB to be "key to determining the pulse of the housing market", will be drawn data from the "Bureau of Labor Statistics for employment growth numbers, house price appreciation data from Freddie Mac, and single-family permit numbers from the U.S. Census Bureau".

   In the article, the NAHB Chairman, Bob Nielsen, was quoted as saying that "Housing conditions are local and do not always reflect the national picture", and that they created the new index to "shine a light on those housing markets across the country that have stabilized and have begun to show signs of recovery."

   Who made the first release of the Index? The 12 Metro area that made it were: Alexandria, La.; Anchorage, Alaska.; Bangor, Maine; Bismarck, N.D.; Casper, Wyo.; Fairbanks, Alaska.; Fayetteville, N.C.; Houma, La.; Midland, Texas; New Orleans; Pittsburgh; and Waco, Texas".

   As an interesting side note, in the same article, the Chief Economist for NAHB (David Crowe), said that last year at this time "there was not a single market that showed improvement using these criteria." What are your thoughts on this composite index? Do you think they hit the target, or there should be more than these three factors?

Would You Like Our Blog Posts Directly to your E-mail? Here's How:1. Locate the "Follow this Blog by Email" box on the Right Side of your Screen.
2. Type your E-mail address in the box, and click "Submit"3. Check Your E-mail and Confirm Your Subscription...it's That Simple !

Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog: http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Websites: http://www.lease2buy.com and http://www.homerunhomes.com
TAGS: #NAHB #ImprovingMarketsIndex #IMI #RealEstateMarket #housingpermits #employment #homeprices

September 6, 2011

Share Your Home Equity Appreciation To Avoid Foreclosure

Hi Folks,

   Welcome back. We have a cool topic to discuss today, and I want to dive right in so we can get to your opinions, thoughts, comments.

   "Lenders could write down mortgages in exchange for claims on future appreciation – potentially making it a win not only for homeowners but also for lenders and investors". This comes from an article from Fortune/CNN titled, "A mortgage fix for lenders and homeowners: Shared equity" by Nin-Hai Tseng.

   Yes, perhaps this is something you toyed around with in your head before and said to yourself; "Wait...this can't be legal". News Flash - Harvard University's Kenneth Rogoff and Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Bill Wheaton have made this proposal, in which, as they suggest that "the government should facilitate mortgage write-downs in exchange for claims on a percentage of future appreciation – potentially making it a win not only for homeowners who owe more on their homes than their properties are worth, but also a win for lenders and investors who would eventually be repaid for giving borrowers a break."

   Taking a step back to look at the bigger picture, Real Estate correlates with the larger Economy and spending and growth. As Tseng writes, the Obama administration is studying a variety of options, and as reported by the New York Times, this includes the potential to allow "millions of homeowners with government-backed mortgages to refinance them at today's lowest interest rate of about 4%", and also includes the possibility of "tweaking existing refinancing programs so that more homeowners take part."

   And now...back to the Proposal.

   Tseng provides a hypothetical example of someone with a home that they purchased for $100,000, which is now worth $60,000, and which puts them on the ugly side by $40,000 ("underwater mortgage"). The proposal would be for the mortgage company to restructure the loan for the borrower at $60,000, which would keep the borrower in the home, and in exchange for the lower payments, there mortgage company would have a stake in the "future appreciation" of the home. So, for a 50% stake, if the price of the home appreciated to $90,000 and was sold, the appreciation would be $30,000, and 50% of the sales proceeds ($15,000) would go to the mortgage company.

   Taking this one step further, if that same property increases in value to $140,000, that would be an $80,000 appreciation, of which $40,000 would go to the mortgage company, thus, as Wheaton says, the lender would recover all its money.

   But there are some variables to take into account here. Tseng pointed out in the article that the speculation regarding the substantial rise in home value presented in the article above is a big "if". Also, it was mentioned that the lender could potentially, "put a clause into the loan that keeps the owner in the home until the value of the property recovers a designated amount", and says that this could "make the deal more complicated and potentially less attractive for the homeowner". Tseng also adds that home prices need to "actually appreciate" for this to work (Tseng provides the example of a high-volume of housing inventory that will keep prices down for a while), and that the lender could still see losses (perhaps not as much as in a foreclosure).

   Nevertheless, Tseng says, "the idea of shared equity between lender and borrower is worth a serious look", and points to previous programs that were not decisive in stemming foreclosures (i.e. Hope for Homeowners in 2008 and Making Home Affordable Plan, or HAMP, in 2009). Nothing has really had enough bite, so far.

   A very important point raised by Manuel Adelino, a real estate finance professor at Dartmouth University, as to why we are not seeing more loan modifications, was that the banks, "don't really know who to give them to", and he adds that if the banks decide to give them only to people who are delinquent on their mortgage payments, then it gives them and others "the incentive to be delinquent".

   So, who could this proposed plan benefit right now, given the current market and the excess housing inventory mentioned above? Borrowers and Lenders. Tseng said that it could lessen the impact of losses occurred from foreclosure to both borrowers and lenders.

   Tseng also said that it does not let borrowers "off the hook, at least not easily", and says that if Wall Street got its bailout ("even if unwillingly"), "shouldn't Main Street get a chance?".

   I think this is a great idea, if for no other reason than cutting foreclosure losses for both sides, eliminating the stigma of the foreclosure process, and putting the framework in place for when home prices do rebound.

   Never mind what I think...What do you think?

Would You Like Our Blog Posts Directly to your E-mail? Here's How:
1. Locate the "Follow this Blog by Email" box on the Right Side of your Screen.
2. Type your E-mail address in the box, and click "Submit"
3. Check Your E-mail and Confirm Your Subscription...it's That Simple !

Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog: http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Websites: http://www.lease2buy.com and http://www.homerunhomes.com

TAGS: #sharedequity #foreclosure #refinancingprogram #underwatermortgage #HAMP #mortgagepayment #homeprices

August 30, 2011

Short-Term Bumps, Long-Term Jumps

Hi Folks,

   Welcome Back, and I join you on this special day (it's my son's 5th birthday, and ice cream cake with the inevitable sugar rush might render me comatose by tonight). But it is a fun day !

   Back to Real Estate (what you came here for!)

   Obviously, Home Sales and Home Prices are critical to the Real Estate market, and we had a couple of figures released this week that we'd like to discuss with you today, coincidentally Pending Home Sales and Standard & Poors/Case-Shiller Home Prices.

   Per the National Association of Realtors®, or NAR, the Pending Home Sales Index was Down 1.3% in from June to July of this year, but it was Up 14.4% from July 2010 to July 2011. The NAR reports that all regions showed monthly declines, with the West showing the "highest level of sales contract activity", with a 3.6% increase from June-July of this year, and an amazing 20.6% from July 2010.

   As for Home Prices, the Standard and Poors/Case-Shiller Home Price Index reported that nationally, Home Prices Went Up 3.6% from Q1 to Q2 of this year, but dropped 5.9% From Q2 of 2010 to Q2 of 2011, and they added that, Nationally, "home prices are back to their early 2003 levels".

   David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poors Indices, stated that shifts in pricing amongst different regions suggests that, "we are back to regional housing markets, rather than a national housing market where everything rose and fell together."

   Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said that the market can move into a "healthy expansion", with a return to normalcy in mortgage underwriting standards. As the Pending Home Sales Index is a "forward-looking indicator based on contract signings", and the data reflects contracts but not closings, Yun also made a point to say that "not all sales contracts are leading to closed existing-home sales", and says that "other market frictions need to be addressed, such as assuring that proper comparables are used in appraisal valuations, and streamlining the short sales process.”

   On a positive note, Yun says that “The underlying factors for improving sales are developing", and points to "rising rents, record high affordability conditions and investors buying real estate as a future inflation hedge", but reiterates that it is "now a question of lending standards", along with consumers "having the necessary confidence to enter the market.”

   Here is my 2-cent opinion: I like to look at changes over the long-haul, i.e., from the same time 2010 vs the same time 2011. With that thought in mind, we jumped 14.4% in Pending Home Sales but Home Prices (Index of Prices) dropped 5.9%. Just as the title of this post suggests; Short-Term Bumps, Long-Term Jumps...!

   What are your opinions on these new figures? What does it mean to you?

Would You Like Our Blog Posts Directly to your E-mail? Here's How:
1. Locate the "Follow this Blog by Email" box on the Right Side of your Screen.
2. Type your E-mail address in the box, and click "Submit"
3. Check Your E-mail and Confirm Your Subscription...it's That Simple !

Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog: http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Websites: http://www.lease2buy.com and http://www.homerunhomes.com

TAGS: #HomeSales #HomePrices #RealEstate #shortsales #CaseShiller #NAR #mortgageunderwriting

July 26, 2011

Prices and Sales were Virtually "Boring"

Hi Folks,

   Welcome back.

   The figures just rolled out for the S-P/Case-Shiller Home Prices, which showed "a second consecutive month of increase in prices for the 10- and 20-City Composites" through May, and on an annual basis, the release stated that "Washington DC was the only MSA with a positive rate of change, up 1.3%.", and that "Minneapolis fared the worst posting a double-digit decline of 11.7%".

   Additionally, the New Residential Sales figures for June were released, and these pegged the market at 1% below May, but 1.6% above June 2010.

   Overall, the numbers didn't express anything more than perhaps a seasonal increase in the numbers and pricing. The Pending Home Sales will be released this Thursday, so hopefully, they will be a little more exciting than these figures.

Stay Tuned !


PSSSST...
Did you know that you can be notified by E-mail when our new posts are available?


HOW?
Just type your E-mail address in the little box on the right side of this page, titled:


"SUBSCRIBE: Receive Our Blog Posts By E-Mail !"

Remember to check your E-mail to confirm your subscription !

Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog: http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Websites: http://www.lease2buy.com and http://www.homerunhomes.com

TAGS: #homeprices #residentialsales #Washington #Minneapolis

May 31, 2011

Foreclosures Flooding The Market And Diluting Prices

Good Morning,

   Hope you are making most of this short week (short for the lucky ones).

   The woes of the housing market surface and resurface in many different ways. The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices were just released, and the numbers indicate that home prices in the Nation hit a new low in Q1 of this year. The figures showed a 4.2% drop, along with a, "new recession low" with the latest data. Additionally, home prices posted an annual decline of 5.1% when compared to Q1 of 2010. The release of these figures from Standard and Poors indicate that, "Nationally, home prices are back to their mid-2002 levels."

   "There's a three-year inventory of homes in foreclosure for sale, and that's devastating home prices.", says Les Christie, in a story titled, "Foreclosures for sale: Big supply, low prices", in a story on Yahoo Real Estate/CNN Money. The story points to data from RealtyTrac, and says that more than half of homes sold in Nevada are, "in some stage of foreclosure". California and Arizona are not far behind, with foreclosures representing 45% of sales.

   Rich Sharga of RealtyTrac was quoted very accurately as saying that this, "is very bad for the economy.".

   Homes, such as REOs (bank-owned homes), are selling dramatically lower than comparable properties, at an average of 35% less, per RealtyTrac. On the high end of this data is New York State, with a 53% discount for REOs in Q1. It is also worth mentioning short sales, which average at a 9% discount.

   Sharga says that it will take 3 years to sell the nearly 2 Million distressed properties, and about 2 years to clear out the REOs, to which he says, is, "without any new foreclosures at all coming into the system."

   This goes along with the S&P/Case-Shiller figures, where Minneapolis, for example, posted a double-digit 10.0% annual decline ("the first market to be back in this territory since March 2010 when Las Vegas was down 12.0% on an annual basis."). Always eager to end on a bright note, Washington DC was the, "only city where home prices increased on both a monthly and annual basis."

   Where do you think we'll go from here in terms of home prices and inventory?

Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Website http://www.lease2buy.com

TAGS: #foreclosure #realestate #REO #shortsales

May 26, 2011

Home Prices - Look Out For The Herd

Happy Hot, Sticky, Summery Day,

   The one and only Winter fan shouting out to you today !

   When you think about Housing and Real Estate, one of the first things that comes to mind (or should come to mind), are Home Prices. This week, the Federal Housing Finance Agencys (FHFA) released their seasonally adjusted purchase-only house price index, which, as described, is, "calculated using home sales price information from Fannie Mae- and Freddie Mac-acquired mortgages."

   The "skinny" on these numbers boils down to the 2.5% drop in Q1 2011 vs. Q4 2010, and the 5.5% drop from Q1 2010 to Q1 2011. In the actual breakdown of the figures, "the strongest prices", as they were referred, were in the West South Central Division, where prices, "declined only 0.5 percent." Amongst the largest price drops (for the 25 most populated metropolitan areas) was the Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, GA area, which saw prices drop in excess of 13% from Q1 2010 to Q1 2011. Ouch !

   What does this all mean? "Absolutely nothing!", says Eric Bramlett, a Real Estate Broker in Austin, Texas, who says that all Real Estate is "local", and that the only buyers who are interested in purchasing "anywhere in the United States" are investors. Bramlett says that the, "vast majority of home buyers need to buy a property in a specific city or metro area, and most want to purchase within a sub-market of that area."

   In the world we live in, and the way we are wired, when we hear a market is in decline, many people go into the "Herd" mentality mindset, slap the blinders on, and forge along with those negative thoughts, so in a way, I believe it does effect us, even if indirectly.

   Bramlett provides some solid advice for homeowners and buyers, which is to, "find out where your local market stands, and you will have an accurate read on where you stand as a homeowner or buyer."

   Hopefully, you will read this for knowledge purposes and will not slap on the blinders. Educate yourself, check your desired area for crime, business, expansion, employment, etc. Did we miss anything? We'd love to hear from you.

Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Website http://www.lease2buy.com

TAGS: #homeprices #FannieMae #FreddiaMac #Atlanta #realestate

March 30, 2011

Home Sales Up, Home Prices Down

Hi Folks,

   Glad to have you back.

   It was a mixed week in terms of the Housing Market, but at this point, we'll take a mixed week vs an abysmal week!

   The good news first; The Pending Home Sales Index For February was released by the National Association or Realtors, or NAR (and "reflects contracts and not closings, which normally occur with a lag time of one or two months). The numbers showed a rise of 2.1% from January (but a drop of 8.2% from February 2010).

   The "other" news, as we will call it, came from S&P, and the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices for March. This is a case of when the title tells the story; "Home Prices Off to a Dismal Start in 2011". In summary, their large 20-city composite showed a 3.1% drop from January 2010 to January 2011, with San Diego and Washington D.C.as the only two markets to record "positive year-over-year changes".

   What to make of these numbers. If I said I knew, I'd be lying. We have a comment submitted to us by Paul Gabrail, co-founder of Select Investment Group, a Cleveland, Ohio real estate investment firm, who says that, "there aren't enough positives in the housing numbers to outweigh the anchors holding values down, which include oversupply of recent years' new construction, the oncoming supply of foreclosed homes that have been held back since October by banks, and the unemployment and income numbers that we are experiencing. Bottom line, housing values still have further to drop."

   Construction numbers come out on Friday, so maybe we'll get a clearer picture of where things are headed as we approach mid-year.

Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Website http://www.lease2buy.com

March 25, 2011

Existing Home Sales, New Residential Sales, and Home Prices. Ouch!

Hi Folks,
   Hope your week went better than the recent Housing Market numbers!

   On that sour intro, NAR Existing Home Sales were released this week, and they showed us an almost 10% drop from January to February, and nearly a 3% drop from a year earlier. New Residential Sales were even worse, with almost a 17% drop from January to February, and, get ready for this...a 28% drop from exactly one year earlier.

   The Home Price Index that is tallied by FHFA did not fair any better. We saw home prices drop 0.3% from December 2010 to January 2011, but for the 12 months ending in January, prices fell 3.9%. To put these numbers in perspective, the U.S. index is 16.5% below its April 2007 peak.

   So, how was your week...?

Have a Great Weekend, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Website http://www.lease2buy.com

February 25, 2011

A Look at Current Home Prices and Home Sales

Hi Folks,

   Hope you've had a great week!

   A few key Housing numbers were released this week, and I'd like to review them with you here today since they deal with two very important factors; Home Prices and Home Sales.

   In terms of Home Prices, both the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices and the FHFA Monthly House Price Index were released this week. The S&P Indices, which provided data through December 2010, showed that the, "U.S. National Home Price Index declined by 3.9% during the fourth quarter of 2010.", and that the, "National Index is down 4.1% versus the fourth quarter of 2009, which is the lowest annual growth rate since the third quarter of 2009, when prices were falling at an 8.6% annual rate." The FHFA Index didn't fare well, either, with a 0.8 Percent drop in the Fourth Quarter of 2010, as well as a drop of 3.9 percent from the fourth quarter of 2009 to the fourth quarter of 2010.

   Chris "CD" Dowell of RE/MAX Best Associates, says that, "A high percentage of home buyer are investors. They're not worried about list price when making offers. They're looking at market value." Similarly, Paul Gabrail from Select Investment Group, says that many thought that, "because we saw short term leveling of prices a few months ago that the problems were over. Yet, we still have 9%+ unemployment, over leveraged borrowers, and banks are still increasing their foreclosure filings, which lead to lower prices because of oversupply."

   In terms of Home Sales, Existing-Home Sales Rose Again in January, as per the National Association of REALTORS®. Existing-home sales figures, which marks, "the third consecutive month with a pace that is now above year-ago levels". New Residential Sales in January 2011 were 12.6 percent below the revised December rate, and 18.6 percent below the January 2010 estimate.

   In summary, as Gabrail says, "some of these hotter markets are even worse - 13%+ unemployment, one in 10 houses behind on their mortgage and houses sitting empty and on market for over 1 year. It's all supply and demand and there is no demand when unemployment is 9%, so we have both extremes: Low demand and over supply."

   Do you have any comments on the Housing numbers release this past week? We'd love to hear from you.

Have a Great Weekend, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Website http://www.lease2buy.com

February 16, 2011

Is Now The Right Time To Buy A Second Home?

Hi Folks,
   Today, we have a special guest post from Matthew Read, a home insurance specialist, who will be discussing the topic that a lucky few of us get to ponder; "Is Now The Right Time To Buy A Second Home?"

***
It might sound crazy to invest money in a second property at the moment, given the instability of the economy, but there are a few positive reasons to do so:

First:
Home prices in many areas of the country are low...very low! According to Zillow.com, the average home price in the U.S. has fallen by around $65,000, as the average price went from $240,000 down to $175,000 since 2006. Although home prices might continue to fall, they are currently at a very appealing level, and so now might be the time to invest in a second home before prices start to rise again.

Second:
Interest rates are very low, meaning that, if you can get a mortgage, now is the time to do so. For those who already own a home, the mortgage rates on a second home would be incredibly appealing at the current time.

Third:
A second home can be a great money earner. Although you might have to spend money on fees, maintenance and second home insurance etc, you could rent out the home or do a rent to buy option, covering the mortgage and making some money on top. With a strong renters market at the moment, this could be a nice little earner for you.

Finally:
It’s better than saving! Interest rates on savings are quite low at the moment, and so you may benefit more in the long run by investing your savings in property than in the bank. Normally it would be the other way around, but with the banking issues at the moment, your money may actually be safer in property investment than bank investment.

Obviously before pursuing anything like this you should talk to the real estate experts, but it is definitely something worth thinking about if you have the spare capital or equity available.

***

Thanks Matthew - hopefully, this info will prove extremely helpful to our readers.

Have a Great Day, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !

Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Website http://www.lease2buy.com

January 24, 2011

Running Out of Homebuyers? Are We Really?

Hi Everyone,

   Welcome back and hope you had a great weekend. This is a pretty big week, with four major housing indicators that are due to be released, which are as follows:

* 1/25 (Tuesday) 9:00 AM: S&P/Case-Shiller Home Prices
* 1/25 (Tuesday) 10:00 AM: FHFA Monthly House Price Index
* 1/26 (Wednesday) 10:00 AM: New Residential Sales
* 1/27 (Thursday) 10:00 AM: Pending Home Sales Index

   We'd like to thank everyone for their fantastic feedback regarding our Blog Post from Friday January 21st, titled, "A Funny Thing Happened on The Way to a Real Estate Deal". As we have mentioned to several of you, we will be planning a new edition of that story line with all new "Funny Real Estate Stories" (we are accepting submissions via E-mail)

   I came across a very interesting story to share with you, and the title really grabbed my attention; "The Eight States Running Out of Homebuyers". In this 24/7 Wall St article (written by Douglas A. McIntyre, Michael B. Sauter and Charles B. Stockdale), the authors state that, "The devastation in some regions will never be repaired.", and they point to population desertion, jobless rates, and the eventual possibility that, "Some homes will be torn down in these pockets of high foreclosures in the hopes that reducing supplies will boost prices."

   The states listed in this article were Michigan, Nevada, Arizona, California, Illinois, Georgia, Oregon, and Florida, and in the article, the full breakdown of each state along with the sources for the data are provided.

   This is indeed a very frightening and an eye-opening story. It is also a sad story to hear of towns literally "dying".

   Do you live in any of the states mentioned? If so, what is your take on this story? We'd love to hear an inside scoop from Realtors, investors, homeowners, and home buyers.

Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Website http://www.lease2buy.com


TAGS: #homeprices #realestate #realtor

November 24, 2010

Do the Housing Numbers Make You Dizzy?

Hi Folks,


   Hope you've had a great short week, and you're ready for the Feast !

   As we discussed on Monday, there were quite a bit of pivotal numbers coming out, and I wanted to take a look at them together with you. Whether this will aid in your digestion tomorrow will remain to be seen.

   New Residential Sales: October came in at 8.1% below September and 28.5% below October 2009, and compared to the same numbers released last month, which showed a 6.6 percent short term increase, but was also substantially below the previous year (21.5 percent decrease). What happened to another short-term increase? Where did that go?

   Existing-Home Sales: The figures for October came in 2.2% below September, and 25.9% below October 2009, reflecting, of course, the tax credit frenzy during that period of time.

   FHFA Quarterly Index: This purchase-only FHFA house price index showed a 1.6% drop from the 2nd Quarter to the 3rd Quarter, and a 3.2% drop from the same period in 2009. The biggest movers were the Mountain Division of the US, which was down 4%, while the New England Division rose 0.9%

   We still have a long way to go until we start seeing rock-solid numbers coming out with every new release, and it certainly will, as we cannot create more land, just more houses!

   As a final note, we will be doing a very informative piece on Friday, which will cover the topic of Bank REOs and Foreclosures, so be sure to tune-in (and digest).

Have a Safe and Happy Thanksgiving
...and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
HomeRun Homes Blog http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Website http://www.lease2buy.com

September 24, 2010

What Can Go Wrong With Rent to Own ?

Hi Folks,
   It's Friday ! Hope your week has been phenomenal.

   As our title suggests, today we will be looking at some issues that may arise when doing a Rent to Own Transaction, as well as a few solutions to help you out.

   A common problem in this economy is the steady decrease in home prices. This represents an overall problem for the market in general, but it has a specific effect on a Rent to Own deal. For example, Aaron Galvin, Managing Broker of Luxury Living Chicago, says that if a tenant has been renting a private condo or a home for the last year with a specific purchase price which was established at the beginning of the lease term, a decrease in property value will impact the decision of the tenant to buy the property. If the tenant was ready to buy the home, he obviously does not want to overpay.

   Galvin proposes the following solution; "Do not establish a purchase price when signing a lease. Instead, a tenant should disclose their desire to ultimately purchase the property at the end of the lease term and negotiate a percentage of rent back toward the final purchase price.", so, in other words, "No dollar amount should be set until the value of a home is determined at purchase time." This would, of course, be in writing, and agreed to by both parties.

   Gary Parkes, a Mortgage Lender with Acopia Home Loans, suggests some additional solutions, including a few proactive ones. Parkes says that using a realtor, and "having them thoroughly research the comparable properties will help minimize the likelihood of that happening.", however, if this advanced planning does not work and the "house appraises for lower than the agreed price you have a few possible solutions that can resolve this issue."

   Parkes says that, "in a majority of cases the seller will ask for a copy of the appraisal to review and will lower the agreed upon sales price to match the appraisal.", however, if the seller is, "unable or unwilling to do that, the next option would be to meet half way or pay the whole difference." He reminds us that you can decide to pay more that the appraised value, but, "the lender will base how much they lend you on the lower of the sales price or appraised value.". Fortunately, he points out that a situation like this typically is resolved and the purchase does occur.

   Another potential issue is due to potential human interactions, or "PHI", as I like to call it. Shuki Haiminis, President of Lofts.com, has presented an example of this type of issue. Haiminis brought a couple to see a loft development, which they loved so much, that instead of just renting it, they want to do a Rent to Own transaction. The developer hesitantly agreed, but the couple assured him that, "there was no way that they would not be buying the unit."

   Ultimately, the process went forward, and the developer, "put his own money and labor into customizing the space for them with their specific requests.", and Haiminis says that, "While he would probably have made some of the changes, in solely a rental deal he definitely would not have put in as much as he did."

   What was the end result? A Negative PHI...the couple split up! So, "not only did they not buy the Loft but they had to terminate the rental lease as well." Haiminis said that the developer, "should have required a small down payment maybe equal to one months rent to show good faith." This is a good point. Builders/Developers - pay attention to that one !

   Some other things that can happen along the way are issues with the down payment funds and with income statements, and Parkes, who experiences things from the buying aspect daily, and has examined each of these for us.

   Down Payment Money: Parkes says that, "Many people do not realize that they will have to explain where any non-payroll deposits came from and many people do not like having to answer these questions for privacy reasons". Lenders often look over the previous 2 months of bank statements, and they will need to know where the money came from. Parkes suggests that you, "have an account with the money sitting there already for 2 months.", so that you do not need to, "source all your deposits", and that, "Even if you are receiving a gift for a down payment, these same factors can be applied to the gift giver."

   Income: Parkes warns that if you are considering buying a home within the next few years, you need to, "be careful in the amount of write-offs you take on your tax returns", since, "Lenders use the tax returns to determine income in our current lending environment-even for those salaried borrowers such as teachers, non-commissioned employees, etc.". Additionally, he says that, "Yes, you will have to pay more in taxes but it will help you qualify for a loan. It is a tough pill to swallow, but by planning ahead you can prepare", since, "A lender will generally look at the previous two year tax returns in determining income."

   Ultimately, there are pros and cons with any type of real estate transaction. The pros of Rent to Own are being able to try a home before buying it, and being able to get into a home you might not normally be able to under your current circumstances. For a seller, being open to Rent to Own gives you an extra tool to help sell your home, and to have a serious tenant who could potentially own the home and will treat it as if it is already their own home.

Have a Great Weekend, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !

July 30, 2010

Will the Housing Market Recover?

Welcome to Friday!


   Can it possibly be August? It certainly is, and folks, we are still in the midst of a housing crisis. Yes, I used the word, "crisis". There are definitely markets showing signs of recovery, as we have discussed in a previous post (http://www.blogging.lease2buy.com/2010/06/foreclosure-preventionimproved-housing.html), however, the rest of the market is struggling.

   An article recently cited the "6 Reasons the Housing Market Hasn't Recovered" (with credit to Luke Mullins of U.S. News and World Report), and the reasons were:

1) Labor market
2) Household formation
3) Foreclosures
4) Tight credit
5) Falling home prices
6) Selling your other home

   Two of these I found very interesting, and the first being "Household Formation". This is an angle that I personally have never thought about before, and might I add that it is a very good observation. What the author is saying is that basically, people cannot afford to branch out and purchase a home. People have fallen on hard times, and some have moved in with friends and family. Some couples who are looking to get married and purchase a home are perhaps holding off and staying in their rented apartment until things recover. Overall, a very good observation.

   The other point was that of, "Selling your other home". This has always been a problem, but is amplified during a market with falling housing prices, coupled with falling credit scores and income (or lack thereof). When you need to sell your home before you are able to purchase a new home, this takes it's toll. People are always looking to up size, downsize, or need to sell since they are moving. As we are seeing creative real estate options becoming more mainstream, such as Rent to Own (See our recent Blog post on this: http://www.blogging.lease2buy.com/2010/06/rent-to-own-transactions-move-into.html ), this will hopefully mitigate this factor from inhibiting our recovery.

   In keeping with our discussion, next week, there will be some important numbers released, which are the Construction Spending figures on Monday, and the Pending Home Sales Index numbers on Tuesday. Let's keep any eye on these together.

   Do you have any gripes about this market? What are your thoughts?

Have a Great Weekend, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !