Battle of The Home Price Indices

Hi Everyone,
   Glad to have you back with me here today!

   This week, there were two separate Home Price Indices released that reflected Home Prices in August as compared to the previous month, along with a comparison to the previous month one year prior. However, both the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Prices Index and the FHFA Monthly Home Price Index differ in their report.

   For the period covering July through August, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index showed increases of +0.2% for both the 10- and 20-City Composites. On the flip side, the FHFA House Price Index Fell 0.1%, which they deemed the "First Monthly Decline Since March".

   For the period covering August 2010 through August 2011, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index said that "Annual Rates of Change Continue to Improve", with Atlanta and Los Angeles continuing their drop, however, with the Midwest acting as a shining star, Detroit is named as "the healthiest when viewed on an annual basis" (possibly due to renewed strength in the Auto-Industry?). Once again we turn to the flip side, and we see that the FHFA House Price Index reported that U.S. prices fell 4% from August 2010 - August 2011.

   For the sake of Apples to Apples, the FHFA monthly index is calculated "using purchase prices of houses backing mortgages that have been sold to or guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac", and the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index is a Weighted value composite of "single-family home price indices for the nine U.S. Census division"

   Did you find this interesting. Which of the figures would you place most of your faith?

Would You Like Our Blog Posts Sent Directly to your E-mail? Here's How:
1. Locate the "Follow this Blog by Email" box on the Right Side of your Screen.
2. Type your E-mail address in the box, and click "Submit"
3. Check Your E-mail and Confirm Your Subscription...it's That Simple !

Have a Great Weekend, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog: http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Websites: http://www.lease2buy.com and http://www.homerunhomes.com

TAGS: #HomePrices #FannieMae #FreddieMac #mortgage #FHFA #Detroit #Atlanta

Young Inventory Translates To Quick Markets

Good Morning Folks,

   As we all know, there are a wide variety of measures and indices that gauge the health of the Real Estate market. One of the most important of there are the New Residential Sales figures, which incidentally, were up 6.8% from July 2010 to July of this year.

   Another such measure, and quite an interesting one, is one that was recently discussed in an article on Inman News ("11 fastest-moving real estate markets in July"). As described in the article, "Realtor.com released a list of metros with the lowest median age of inventory at the site -- a measurement of how long a property from a given metro area typically spends on the site". Essentially, the logic is that if homes are not sitting in inventory for too long while waiting to be sold, this indicates quick turnover, and thus, a fast-moving market.

   The biggest winner in this category, per the Realtor.com site, was Denver (median age of inventory was 32 days, which was the lowest among the Metros). Additionally, 6 California metros appeared in the list, and Detroit made the list, which is a good sign for their struggling Housing Market.

   Now, the converse of this measure would be the Metros with the highest median age of inventory, thus, slow-moving markets. The slowest one? Naples, Florida, with the highest median age of 153 days. Naples was not lonely in the list, as 7 of the 10 Metros tagged as the slowest-moving markets were in Florida.

   Inventory data is definitely not a new concept, but when it is examined from this perspective, it certainly paints a picture of the markets that are moving, shaking, and in some cases, sleeping.

   What are your thoughts/comments on this?

Would You Like Our Blog Posts Directly to your E-mail? Here's How::
1. Locate the "Follow this Blog by Email" box on the Right Side of your Screen.
2. Type your E-mail address in the box, and click "Submit"
3. Check Your E-mail and Confirm Your Subscription...it's That Simple !

Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog: http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Websites: http://www.lease2buy.com and http://www.homerunhomes.com

TAGS: #RealEstate #NewResidentialSales #inventory #Realtor #California #Detroit #Florida

Low Housing Inventory As A Common Denominator

Morning Folks,

   Glad to have you here with me.

   This morning, the New Residential Sales figures were released for this past April, and there has been a nice bump over the past month in the sales of new one-family homes, specifically 7.3% above March. Over the longer term (since April 2010), there was a drop of over 23%. Does this come as a shock?

   According to 3 separate sources, not really, as they all cite low inventory as the common denominator.

   Barry Goodhart, a Property Manager, says that there is "less inventory for buyers to choose from", and thus, "The decrease in new houses coming on the market should help support".

   Ken Pozek, a residential real estate agent in Suburban Metro Detroit, says that they are having an "Amazing" sales year, and that, "low inventory is making this a crazy market!"

   Finally, Ken Koenen, LLM Attorney at Law, says that he has, "little faith in the numbers provided.", and that, "too much inventory is owned by the banks", and that, "they are controlling the market place at their whim."

   What are your thoughts? Were you happy about the increase over last month? Concerned over the big drop from last year? We'd love to hear from you.

Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Website http://www.lease2buy.com

TAGS: #residential #homes #propertymanager

Big City, Big Rent? Think Again

Hi Folks,
   Glad to have you back today!

   Quite often, we hear people say that the Rent is too high (we even heard a potential political candidate run on that platform a while back!). Well, yes, Rent can be quite high, but as everything else in life, it's all relative.

   Venessa Wong for Bloomberg Businessweek ran an article titled, "The 10 Worst Cities for Renters", which ran in the Yahoo Real Estate Section, which took a look at how "much" is rent, relatively speaking. In the article, Wong states that over the past few decades, "...rent levels grew faster than renter income.", and that the amount of income, "apportioned to rent" has grown dramatically over the past fifty years. Wong cites research by Harvard University's Joint Center for Housing Studies, which shows that, "In 1960, about one-quarter of renters in the U.S. were at least moderately burdened, including 12 percent with a severe burden", and by 2009. the rate doubled to nearly half of renters with at least a moderate burden, including 26 percent with a severe burden.".What this means, as stated in the article, is that nearly half of renters pay more than 30 percent of their monthly income for rent, including 26 percent that pay more than 50 percent of income.

   Taking this data into account, which are the worst cities for Renters? Wong states that it’s not necessarily the most expensive cities that are to blame (and as you will see, not the biggest cities, either).

   Here is the list of the top 10 metropolitan areas ("toughest U.S. cities for renters"), ranked by the percentage of tenants spending more than half of their income on rent, per the article:

No. 10 Metro: Bridgeport, Conn. - Renter households with severe cost burdens: 30.5%
No. 9 Metro: Toledo, Ohio - Renter households with severe cost burdens: 30.8%
No. 8 Metro: Orlando - Renter households with severe cost burdens: 30.9%
No. 7 Metro: Memphis - Renter households with severe cost burdens: 31.6%
No. 6 Metro: Akron, Ohio - Renter households with severe cost burdens: 31.8%
No. 5 Metro: New Orleans - Renter households with severe cost burdens: 31.8%
No. 4 Metro: New Haven - Renter households with severe cost burdens: 32.7%
No. 3 Metro: Detroit - Renter households with severe cost burdens: 32.8%
No. 2 Metro: McAllen, Tex. - Renter households with severe cost burdens: 33.1%
No. 1 Metro: Miami - Renter households with severe cost burdens: 34.2%

   A quick glance at this list might make you wonder: What about New York City? Los Angeles? Chicago? This might change your perception; as the title suggests, "Big City, Big Rent? Think Again". The forecast in the article mentions that, "increases in rent levels are expected to continue outpacing income growth. Demand for rentals also may continue to grow as the preference for homeownership changes."

   What are your thoughts? Have you calculated rent as a percent of monthly income in your area? What was the percentage and what area did you calculate it for?

Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Website http://www.lease2buy.com

TAGS: #rent #realestate #miami #renter

Update on Home Prices

Good Morning,

   Welcome back, as we're half way through the week.

   Two of the leading Home Price Indices were released yesterday; the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index and the FHFA Monthly House Price Index.

   The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index came in with, "nine markets – Atlanta, Charlotte, Chicago, Detroit, Las Vegas, Miami, Portland (OR), Seattle and Tampa" at their, "lowest levels since home prices peaked in 2006 and 2007". Similarly, The FHFA Monthly House Price Index, came back with a 4.3 percent drop in U.S. prices, "For the 12 months ending in November".

   These numbers show us that there is still a long way to go.

   Double-dip in Home prices? Do you agree?


Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Website http://www.lease2buy.com

Revisiting the Rent vs. Buy Debate

Hi All,
   Happy Columbus Day to you. For those of you who have the day off, congratulations. For those of us working, well, we have to work today!

   Back in June, we covered the much-debated topic of "Rent vs. Buy", and Trulia has released their Rent vs. Buy Index. As Blake Ellis, a staff reporter with CNN Money notes in his article, "Where to buy and where to rent", Trulia is using the following rule to make the Rent vs. Buy determination: If the home price is 15 times higher than the annual rent for a similar property, it is better to rent.

In terms of which cities were mentioned, Ellis cites Trulia's index as follows:

Where to Buy a Home:
Miami, Detroit, Jacksonville, Arlington, Columbus (OH), and Nashville

Where to Rent a Home:
New York, Seattle, Fort Worth, Omaha, Kansas City, and San Diego.

   How do you think Rent to Own fits into the picture? The funny thing is that it could apply to any of these cities, since it is often situation-specific instead of market-specific. Do you Agree? Disagree? Please let us know.

   Do you have any additional recommendations for any other cities not mentioned here? Let us know, as there might be an buyer, renter, realtor, or investor reading this, and we all like to share and help each other.

Have a Great Day, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !!

UPDATED: Right Time to Buy? Top Real Estate Investing Markets

Good Morning,


Happy Friday! With the dreaded humidity taking a swan dive here in New York, it should make for a nice and dry weekend...finally !

As we discussed on Wednesday, we had a ton of requests for us to discuss the hottest markets for Real Estate investments. Keep in mind that these requests were NOT for the hottest housing markets for the standard property buyer, however, for the top Real Estate investing markets.

We warn you - this is a long post - but there is valuable information here !

We have turned to some experts in their given regions, and we have summarized these markets below. However, keep in kind that they are not in any specific order, and we would need to compare apples to apples in order to put them in top to bottom order, which for our purposes here, is outside of the scope of this Blog post. However, some corroborating reasons are given along with each city/region listed below.

Detroit: We had two experts weigh in on the Motor City. Dennis Fassett, a local investor, tells us that, "Nice brick houses in the suburbs with three bedrooms, basements, appliances, garages, and fenced yards can be bought for $40-50,000 or even less in some cases depending on the area. And the properties I have bought like that rent for $1000 per month and up. The ROI is off the charts.". Fassett says that he currently has, "11 houses and 43 apartment units here, and two more deals in process, and I'm looking to buy as much as I can while the market stays depressed."

Drew Sygit of The Lending Edge at First Michigan Bank , concurs, and states that, "Detroit the city is pretty hot. Meeting today with an Australian CPA who's clients all want to buy $30-50k properties they can rent for $900/month. We've got more foreign demand than domestic!"

Memphis: We spoke with Ryan L. Hinricher, a Senior Housing Analyst with Investor Nation, and he said that, "In Memphis an investor who's looking for income property can purchase pristine investment homes at or near median home prices of $115,000, which offer a positive cash flow, or properties as low as $5000 in areas typically higher in crime and lower in income for section 8 rental purposes". Hinricher also reminds us that, "Memphis was recently named one of the 5 best housing markets for 2010 by MSN, Realty Tracs best places to find a foreclosure in 2010, US News and World Reports #1 place for real estate steals in 2010, and Smart Moneys 5 markets expected to fare best in 2010. This is primarily because the transportation industry is one of the first to lead an economic recovery.".

Orlando: Phil Peachey, a Realtor with Regal Real Estate Professionals in Orlando, Florida, says that, "I have apartments at present at $20,000 and 4 bed 3 bath homes with pools near Disney for $100,000. These were 3 times the price a couple of years back.", and that, "Savvy investors are snapping these up in large numbers as they know the market has to come back at some time". I have to concur, as we got our start in the Orlando/Central Florida market, and that seems like a perpetually favored region.

St. Louis: Adam Kruse, a St. Louis Realtor of The Hermann London Group, advises that a lot of the investors are making their own rules on the purchase criteria in that city. Kruse says that, "There are areas of St. Louis where people just don't really buy as primary residence, but they buy them all the time to hold for rental",and says that he has a client who advises him to, "Take the purchase price, subtract off the last 2 zeros, double that number, and I want to be able to get that for rent.", and that they have helped him buy at least 15 places with that criteria. (example: purchase price $35,000, rent amount $700+ per month.)

California: Griff Straw, President of Solidifi, a technology-based appraisal management company, tell us that in California, "Coastal areas continue to offer good opportunities for investors, especially in California, where San Diego has been among the strongest areas in the country. The more remote coastal areas like Oxnard, north of Los Angeles, are less of a sure thing for shorter term appreciation, but may offer potential.

Some Additional Areas that show promise for the Real Estate investor have been identified by Alfred Miller President of Private Lending Solutions, LLC. Miller has, "identified the discount and cash flow properties as well. These are investor friendly markets". The markets he mentioned are Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington (Texas), Houston (Texas), Tulsa (Oklahoma), San Antonio (Texas), Salt Lake City (Utah), Phoenix (Arizona), Indianapolis-Carmel (Indiana), Denver-Aurora (Colorado), Oklahoma City (Oklahoma), and Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord (North Carolina/South Carolina)

We hope that this list will be of significant help to you. We welcome your comments on any and all of the cities mentioned above.

Have a Great Weekend, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !


UPDATED: Top 5 Blog post for 2010 (For more information, CLICK HERE)