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May 31, 2011

Foreclosures Flooding The Market And Diluting Prices

Good Morning,

   Hope you are making most of this short week (short for the lucky ones).

   The woes of the housing market surface and resurface in many different ways. The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices were just released, and the numbers indicate that home prices in the Nation hit a new low in Q1 of this year. The figures showed a 4.2% drop, along with a, "new recession low" with the latest data. Additionally, home prices posted an annual decline of 5.1% when compared to Q1 of 2010. The release of these figures from Standard and Poors indicate that, "Nationally, home prices are back to their mid-2002 levels."

   "There's a three-year inventory of homes in foreclosure for sale, and that's devastating home prices.", says Les Christie, in a story titled, "Foreclosures for sale: Big supply, low prices", in a story on Yahoo Real Estate/CNN Money. The story points to data from RealtyTrac, and says that more than half of homes sold in Nevada are, "in some stage of foreclosure". California and Arizona are not far behind, with foreclosures representing 45% of sales.

   Rich Sharga of RealtyTrac was quoted very accurately as saying that this, "is very bad for the economy.".

   Homes, such as REOs (bank-owned homes), are selling dramatically lower than comparable properties, at an average of 35% less, per RealtyTrac. On the high end of this data is New York State, with a 53% discount for REOs in Q1. It is also worth mentioning short sales, which average at a 9% discount.

   Sharga says that it will take 3 years to sell the nearly 2 Million distressed properties, and about 2 years to clear out the REOs, to which he says, is, "without any new foreclosures at all coming into the system."

   This goes along with the S&P/Case-Shiller figures, where Minneapolis, for example, posted a double-digit 10.0% annual decline ("the first market to be back in this territory since March 2010 when Las Vegas was down 12.0% on an annual basis."). Always eager to end on a bright note, Washington DC was the, "only city where home prices increased on both a monthly and annual basis."

   Where do you think we'll go from here in terms of home prices and inventory?

Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Website http://www.lease2buy.com

TAGS: #foreclosure #realestate #REO #shortsales

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