Short-Term Bumps, Long-Term Jumps

Hi Folks,

   Welcome Back, and I join you on this special day (it's my son's 5th birthday, and ice cream cake with the inevitable sugar rush might render me comatose by tonight). But it is a fun day !

   Back to Real Estate (what you came here for!)

   Obviously, Home Sales and Home Prices are critical to the Real Estate market, and we had a couple of figures released this week that we'd like to discuss with you today, coincidentally Pending Home Sales and Standard & Poors/Case-Shiller Home Prices.

   Per the National Association of Realtors®, or NAR, the Pending Home Sales Index was Down 1.3% in from June to July of this year, but it was Up 14.4% from July 2010 to July 2011. The NAR reports that all regions showed monthly declines, with the West showing the "highest level of sales contract activity", with a 3.6% increase from June-July of this year, and an amazing 20.6% from July 2010.

   As for Home Prices, the Standard and Poors/Case-Shiller Home Price Index reported that nationally, Home Prices Went Up 3.6% from Q1 to Q2 of this year, but dropped 5.9% From Q2 of 2010 to Q2 of 2011, and they added that, Nationally, "home prices are back to their early 2003 levels".

   David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poors Indices, stated that shifts in pricing amongst different regions suggests that, "we are back to regional housing markets, rather than a national housing market where everything rose and fell together."

   Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said that the market can move into a "healthy expansion", with a return to normalcy in mortgage underwriting standards. As the Pending Home Sales Index is a "forward-looking indicator based on contract signings", and the data reflects contracts but not closings, Yun also made a point to say that "not all sales contracts are leading to closed existing-home sales", and says that "other market frictions need to be addressed, such as assuring that proper comparables are used in appraisal valuations, and streamlining the short sales process.”

   On a positive note, Yun says that “The underlying factors for improving sales are developing", and points to "rising rents, record high affordability conditions and investors buying real estate as a future inflation hedge", but reiterates that it is "now a question of lending standards", along with consumers "having the necessary confidence to enter the market.”

   Here is my 2-cent opinion: I like to look at changes over the long-haul, i.e., from the same time 2010 vs the same time 2011. With that thought in mind, we jumped 14.4% in Pending Home Sales but Home Prices (Index of Prices) dropped 5.9%. Just as the title of this post suggests; Short-Term Bumps, Long-Term Jumps...!

   What are your opinions on these new figures? What does it mean to you?

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Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog: http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Websites: http://www.lease2buy.com and http://www.homerunhomes.com

TAGS: #HomeSales #HomePrices #RealEstate #shortsales #CaseShiller #NAR #mortgageunderwriting

Home Sales Up, Home Prices Down

Hi Folks,

   Glad to have you back.

   It was a mixed week in terms of the Housing Market, but at this point, we'll take a mixed week vs an abysmal week!

   The good news first; The Pending Home Sales Index For February was released by the National Association or Realtors, or NAR (and "reflects contracts and not closings, which normally occur with a lag time of one or two months). The numbers showed a rise of 2.1% from January (but a drop of 8.2% from February 2010).

   The "other" news, as we will call it, came from S&P, and the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices for March. This is a case of when the title tells the story; "Home Prices Off to a Dismal Start in 2011". In summary, their large 20-city composite showed a 3.1% drop from January 2010 to January 2011, with San Diego and Washington D.C.as the only two markets to record "positive year-over-year changes".

   What to make of these numbers. If I said I knew, I'd be lying. We have a comment submitted to us by Paul Gabrail, co-founder of Select Investment Group, a Cleveland, Ohio real estate investment firm, who says that, "there aren't enough positives in the housing numbers to outweigh the anchors holding values down, which include oversupply of recent years' new construction, the oncoming supply of foreclosed homes that have been held back since October by banks, and the unemployment and income numbers that we are experiencing. Bottom line, housing values still have further to drop."

   Construction numbers come out on Friday, so maybe we'll get a clearer picture of where things are headed as we approach mid-year.

Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Website http://www.lease2buy.com

Two Points: Selling An REO Property and Home Prices Dropping

Hi Folks,


   Hope you're having a peaceful week. 2011 is just a few days away. Doesn't 2011 sound like such a futuristic year?

   Well, today, I would like to share a post that was written by Bob Corcoran, titled, "Five Tips to Sell REO Properties Faster", and the reason that I am sharing this with you is that this post goes hand-in-hand with my post of November 26th, which is titled, "Post-Foreclosure REO Property Maintenance". Corcoran's post looks at how to prepare an REO for sale from a Realtors point of view, but is also applicable to investors or any other parties.

   Corcoran says that, "The house needs to look just like any other house on the market in the neighborhood.", and he points out his 5 tips as follows:

1. Be a cleaner: Corcoran emphasizes that you, "have to be willing to do what it takes to get the house sold."

2. Think colors: Corcoran states that, "Red says to stop and yellow adds a warmth and coziness."

3. Add smells: "If it smells like bad, it doesn’t matter what it looks like.", says Corcoran, who suggests using air fresheners and a fresh pot of coffee. He says that, "The smell of coffee imparts the best of emotions. It tells people this is a good place to raise kids, it gives a warm and a comforting feeling."

4. Put up signs: Corcoran says that when you're marketing an REO property, "you need to make sure that it’s depersonalized and use cue cards – white piece of paper on the wall – that explain to prospective buyers the positives on what’s been done to the property."

5. Communicate often and regularly: This tip refers to the relationship between the bank and the Realtor, and Corcoran advises that, "When banks assign the Realtor to a property, it expects them to become the eyes and ears for everything that has to do with that property."

   These are some fantastic tips, and are of great use to the entire Real Estate community.

   Now, on to Part 2 of this post: The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices were released yesterday, and as per the report, "Six markets – Atlanta, Charlotte, Miami, Portland (OR), Seattle and Tampa – hit their lowest levels since home prices started to fall in 2006 and 2007". Bright Side? It looks like the major cities in California bounced back. Do you live in California? If so, this might make you happy?

   Thanks for hearing me out! Comments? Questions? Suggestions? You have tons of options for feedback here.

Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Website http://www.lease2buy.com

TAGS: #reo #foreclosure #realtor #realestate