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HomeRun Homes is a centralized marketplace which helps people Find or Sell a Rent to Own Home, both Nationwide and Globally to the thriving Rent to Own Market. http://www.lease2buy.com

August 30, 2011

Short-Term Bumps, Long-Term Jumps

Hi Folks,

   Welcome Back, and I join you on this special day (it's my son's 5th birthday, and ice cream cake with the inevitable sugar rush might render me comatose by tonight). But it is a fun day !

   Back to Real Estate (what you came here for!)

   Obviously, Home Sales and Home Prices are critical to the Real Estate market, and we had a couple of figures released this week that we'd like to discuss with you today, coincidentally Pending Home Sales and Standard & Poors/Case-Shiller Home Prices.

   Per the National Association of Realtors®, or NAR, the Pending Home Sales Index was Down 1.3% in from June to July of this year, but it was Up 14.4% from July 2010 to July 2011. The NAR reports that all regions showed monthly declines, with the West showing the "highest level of sales contract activity", with a 3.6% increase from June-July of this year, and an amazing 20.6% from July 2010.

   As for Home Prices, the Standard and Poors/Case-Shiller Home Price Index reported that nationally, Home Prices Went Up 3.6% from Q1 to Q2 of this year, but dropped 5.9% From Q2 of 2010 to Q2 of 2011, and they added that, Nationally, "home prices are back to their early 2003 levels".

   David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poors Indices, stated that shifts in pricing amongst different regions suggests that, "we are back to regional housing markets, rather than a national housing market where everything rose and fell together."

   Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said that the market can move into a "healthy expansion", with a return to normalcy in mortgage underwriting standards. As the Pending Home Sales Index is a "forward-looking indicator based on contract signings", and the data reflects contracts but not closings, Yun also made a point to say that "not all sales contracts are leading to closed existing-home sales", and says that "other market frictions need to be addressed, such as assuring that proper comparables are used in appraisal valuations, and streamlining the short sales process.”

   On a positive note, Yun says that “The underlying factors for improving sales are developing", and points to "rising rents, record high affordability conditions and investors buying real estate as a future inflation hedge", but reiterates that it is "now a question of lending standards", along with consumers "having the necessary confidence to enter the market.”

   Here is my 2-cent opinion: I like to look at changes over the long-haul, i.e., from the same time 2010 vs the same time 2011. With that thought in mind, we jumped 14.4% in Pending Home Sales but Home Prices (Index of Prices) dropped 5.9%. Just as the title of this post suggests; Short-Term Bumps, Long-Term Jumps...!

   What are your opinions on these new figures? What does it mean to you?

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Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog: http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Websites: http://www.lease2buy.com and http://www.homerunhomes.com

TAGS: #HomeSales #HomePrices #RealEstate #shortsales #CaseShiller #NAR #mortgageunderwriting

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