Holiday Housing Cheer!

Hi Folks,
   I hope you all had a Merry Christmas and a very Happy Holiday!

   Last week the New Residential Construction figures were released for November, and for two out of the three components, there was a pretty solid move upward.

   The two components that were on the rise were both Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits, and Privately-owned housing starts. The building permits for these Privately-owned housing units were up 5.7% over October 2011, but almost 21% from November 2010. The housing starts for these Privately-owned projects were up 9.3% over October 2011, but 24.3% over November 2010.

   The sole component that was down was for Housing Completions (for Privately-owned Housing), and the drop off was 5.6% from October 2011, and just 1.6% from November 2010. This should be reflective of a lower pipeline earlier in the year of both building permits and housing starts. If that is the case, however, let's just imagine for a second how promising the housing completions should be a few months down the road when these elevated building permits and housing starts come to fruition.

   As for Existing Homes Sales, these figures experienced a healthy bounce as well, with the completed transactions for single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, climbed 4% from October 2011, and 12.2% over November 2010. At a continued pace, we can only hope that the Shadow Inventory of homes can be devoured, so that we can truly experience the long-awaited Housing Recovery.

   What are your thoughts?

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Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog: http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Websites: http://www.lease2buy.com and http://www.homerunhomes.com

TAGS: #ResidentialConstruction #ExistingHomesSales #buildingpermits #housingstarts #HousingCompletions #ShadowInventory #housingrecovery

Buy it, Build it, or None of the Above?

Hi Everyone,

   Hope you are all doing well.

   Today, I'd like to shift gears and try to make sense of the most recent releases of both the New Residential Construction figures for August, along with the NAR Existing Home Sales figures for August. Just as the title asks - "Buy it, Build it, or None of the Above?". Let's see if we can gain a clear response to this question.

   Our first stop - New Residential Construction for August. Building Permits were up this past month and over the past 12 months, Housing Starts were down from July and also down from last August, and Housing Completions were down since July, but were up 2.6% from August of 2010.

   Our next stop - Existing Home Sales for August. Where do we begin? In sum, Existing Home Sales were up 7.7% from July to August, and more than 18.5% since August of 2010. These figures were released by the National Association of Realtors, or "NAR", and the chief economist for NAR, Lawrence Yun, said that "favorable affordability conditions and rising rents are underlying motivations", despite disruptions from Hurricane Irene, which pounded the Northeast at the end of August and took a toll on the Regional figures for the Northeast. However, despite that major storm, the numbers were promising.

   In comments from Ron Phipps, NAR President and broker-president of Phipps Realty in Warwick, R.I., he called the market "remarkably affordable" , but he named some large factors holding home sales back, such as mortgages being denied to creditworthy buyers, and "appraised valuations below the negotiated price." These low appraised valuations are a major contributing factor to contract failures/cancellations, and have increased since July and have soared since last August.

   Now, as if you did not already have a sense of the "winner" between New Residential Construction and Existing Home Sales, here are some more key points: Existing Home Sales in the West soared over 18% from July to August, and over the longer-term (since last August), the big winner was the Midwest, with almost a 27% jump in prices. Additionally, the Existing Home Sales release showed that Investors accounted for 22% percent of August Purchases vs. just 18% in July.

   The word on the Street is "Buy it". When both "Build it" and "Buy it" are hot, we will be making big tracks in our Recovery. What do you think?

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Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog: http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Websites: http://www.lease2buy.com and http://www.homerunhomes.com

TAGS: #ResidentialConstruction #ExistingHomeSales #Realtor #NAR #lowappraisal #risingrent

Housing Permits, Starts, And Completions All Rise

Hi Everyone,
   Hope you're having a productive and peaceful week. I come to you with some good housing news today!

   For the 12 months spanning July 2010 through July 2010, the 3 components of the New Residential Construction Housing statistics all showed an increase.

   From July 2010 through July 2011, Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits jumped 3.8%, Privately-owned housing starts jumped 9.8%, and Privately-owned housing completions rose 9.5%, per the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

   What does this mean?

   This paints an overall picture of increased real estate activity from the same period a year ago. My opinion - this is a good thing. However, we are still sitting on a large inventory of existing homes, with a large percentage of that inventory as foreclosure/short sale properties. To gain a better assessment on that very important piece of the market, we will have to see what the National Association of Realtors (NAR) posts for their Existing Home Sales Index for July (due out Thursday Morning).

   Please Stay Tuned !

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Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !
Regards,
Rob Eisenstein
HomeRun Homes Blog: http://blogging.lease2buy.com
HomeRun Homes Websites: http://www.lease2buy.com and http://www.homerunhomes.com

TAGS: #residentialconstruction #buildingpermits #housingstarts #housingcompletions #realestate #foreclosure #shortsale

4 Years Until a Housing Bottom ?

Hi Folks,
   I hope you had a great weekend, and welcome back. I'd like to thank all of our contest winners from Friday, and be sure to watch for new contests coming up very soon.

   "The Case for a Housing Bottom in 2013-14" - does that stun you? How about the following analysis; "Bubbles tend to rise and fall in symmetry, meaning that a bubble that took seven years to reach its apex typically takes about the same period to time to retrace to its starting point.". These are just a few of the points mentioned in an article on DailyFinance.com by Charles Hugh Smith. The article is worth a read, and for those who own multiple properties, take something for your stomach acid before reading the article.

   On a similar note, there are some important housing numbers being released this week:

   Tue 9/21 - Loan Performance Housing Price Index (MORE INFO HERE)
   Tue 9/21 - New Residential Construction (MORE INFO HERE)
   Wed 9/22 - FHFA House Price Index (MORE INFO HERE)
   Thu 9/23 - NAR Existing Home Sales (MORE INFO HERE)
   Fri 9/24 - New Residential Sales (MORE INFO HERE)

   It's worth it to take a look at these numbers as they come out. There are a million theories out there regarding the economy and the housing market. Is the sky falling? Well, for a lot of folks, it already has.

   I like to look at it as follows: The "Chicken Little" is someone who runs around claiming that the sky will fall, the "Optimist" is one who has the intestinal fortitude and cash reserves to stay the course and stay positive. The remainder are those who have lost their jobs and their homes. It is a sad mix, with a disproportionate amount of people falling into the remainder category.

   You know what? We are a strong country that has been through many hardships before. With a little optimism in the darkest days, the days of prosperity will return...they just have to. Everyone knows this. The questions is..."WHEN?".

Stay Strong !

Have a Great Week, and Happy Rent-to-Owning !!